The season 2019/20 in Premier League is starting on 9 August, and it’s time to share our long-term predictions. The last campaign was full of twists and turns, while the title was decided by just one point difference. The big question for the new season is – will we again watch a trophy race between two teams or the other favourites will perform better?
In this article, we will look at the usual favourites for a triumph at the end of the season 2019/20. Our review includes transfer news, the performance of the teams during the last campaign, expectations and odds. In conclusion, I will list my favourites and long-term predictions for a season 2019/20 of the Premier League.
Premier League 2019/2020 Promotion Favourites
As everyone expected, during the last season Manchester City and Liverpool dominated over the remaining teams in the Premier League. As a result, we saw one of the fiercest battles for the title in recent years. Eventually, ‘The Citizens’ deservedly lifted the Premier League’s trophy with one point more than Liverpool, after a run 14 consecutive wins in the final stage of the competition.
Liverpool did their best in an attempt to steal the title from Pep Guardiola and his players. The team earned 97 points and had just one loss during the season, and without a doubt ‘The Reds’ would have been champions in another year. Despite the disappointment in the Premier League, Liverpool’s fans can be happy with the triumph in the Champions League.
Chelsea and Tottenham find a place in Top 4 after a very poor final stage of the season from Arsenal and Manchester United. ‘The Gunners’ were on the fourth place for a very long period of the campaign, but the defensive problems deprived them of participation in the Champions League in the upcoming season. ‘The Red Devils’ couldn’t catch up the leading teams in the league after the dismissal of Jose Mourinho and finished sixth.
Hardly anyone thinks that Top 6 in season 2019/20 can consist of different teams that we already have listed. However, I fully expect Everton, Leicester and Wolverhampton to be also in the battle for the top. During the last campaign, those three teams weren’t that behind from Manchester United, Arsenal and even Chelsea, but they lacked consistency.
Manchester City will begin the season with one end goal – third consecutive Premier League’s title. A similar target is reachable because Pep Guardiola created an excellent squad. ‘The Citizens’ did not flinch for a moment in the furious pursuit with Liverpool during the last campaign, and can only regret that they didn’t win quadruple.
If we look at the statistics, since Pep Guardiola’s appointment, Manchester City are improving their performance consistently. ‘The Citizens’ are dominating over their opponents in the Premier League, and the transfer of Rodri from Atletico Madrid will strengthen the team even more.
Pep Guardiola is a coach that not only outsmart his opponents tactically but also improve his players, especially in the attacking phase. With his 17 goals, Raheem Sterling finished his best season so far, and only Virgil van Dijk’s tremendous influence on Liverpool’s performance prevented him from winning the Premier League Player of the Season Award.
Manchester City kept a big part of the last season’s squad, though Vincent Kompany left the team. It’s hard for me to believe that ‘The Citizens’ will collapse after three solid seasons and will not win the Premier League’s title again. Because of the lack of transfer activity of the competition, Manchester City are my favourites to win the title in the upcoming campaign. Manchester City to win the Premier League this season is priced at odds around 1.50 at bet365.
Although Liverpool did not win the Premier League for a new consecutive year, the team can be delighted with their performance during the last campaign. Jurgen Klopp’s players lost only once – an away fixture against the defending and future champions Manchester City. Excluding ‘The Citizens’, Liverpool were far stronger than the rest of the teams in the league, and when it was difficult, the luck was on their side.
Jurgen Klopp kept his big stars, which is a hint for a new strong season from Liverpool. Many leading European teams were interested in Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane. The interest was even higher after the attacking duo of ‘The Reds’ shared the Premier League Golden Boot award with 22 goals each, accompanied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. The bad news for Liverpool is that both players participated in the Africa Cup of Nations during the summer and will need more time to regain optimal fitness level.
In the defensive phase, Liverpool didn’t change much and will look mostly the same, excluding the transfer of the 17-years-old Dutch talent Sepp van den Berg. ‘The Reds’ again will depend mainly on Virgil van Dijk, who with his phenomenal performance last season, deservedly won the award for the best player of the season in Premier League.
The lack of transfer activity during the summer, however, makes me think that Liverpool will not win the long-awaited title again. On the other hand, I genuinely believe that if something it’s not broke, don’t fix it. Still, the football is constantly evolving and a similar rule it’s not always true. Liverpool to win the Premier League this season is priced at odds around 3.60 at bet365.
The last season was bizarre for Chelsea, especially in its second half. Under the leadership of Maurizio Sarri, Londoners started the campaign very well. However, around January, the form of ‘The Blues’ dropped vastly, and the team was for a long time out of Top 4. Eventually, Chelsea finished the season on the third place and won Europa League.
The summer, however, brought many changes for Londoners. Maurizio Sarri left for Juventus, while the most valuable player of the team Eden Hazard signed with Real Madrid. The Belgium star was the leading player of Chelsea during the last campaign, and hardly anyone will be capable of fulfilling Eden Hazard’s role. Chelsea have a transfer ban from FIFA and can’t register new players, which will delay the search of a replacement for the Belgium winger.
The good news for Londoners is that they have many talented players who impressed with their performance in Championship, and it’s time for them to take the next step. I think that Frank Lampard is the right man from Chelsea because he showed during his time in Derby that is capable of working with a lack of funds for transfers and a limited number of players.
Frank Lampard said numerous times that for him, players’ age doesn’t matter and will give every youngster a chance as long he deserves it. The only new addition to Chelsea’s squad is Christian Pulisic, who to some extent will fill the hole left by Eden Hazard. However, it’s hard for me to believe that ‘The Blues’ will be a serious contender for the title, and more likely will be involved in the battle for the fourth place. Chelsea to win the Premier League this season is priced at odds around 34.00 at bet365.
I look forward to the new season to see how Tottenham will perform. In recent years, ‘The Spurs’ established themselves among the leading teams in the Premier League, but their performance in the final stage of the campaign makes them doubt them for the upcoming season. Series of poor results in the Premier League could cost them a place in Top 4, and on top of that, Tottenham lost the Champions League’s final against Liverpool.
The club’s board and Mauricio Pochettino took into consideration the decline of the form and showed activity during the transfer window for the first time since 18 months. Tottenham signed Lyon’s star Tanguy Ndombele, whose main task is to help the defence of the team.
A bad outgoing transfer, at least for me, was this of Kieran Trippier who left for Atletico Madrid. Yes, the Englishman made many mistakes in the defensive phase, but offensively, he was handy, and the club should quickly find a way to replace him. Tottenham needs several new players if they want to improve their level. Otherwise, it will be hard for ‘The Spurs’ to fight with Manchester City and Liverpool for the title and will be in the top four battle. Tottenham to win the Premier League this season is priced at odds around 17.00 at bet365.
Arsenal missed the opportunity to qualify for Champions League after the team couldn’t find a spot in Top 4 and also lost Europa League’s final against Chelsea. Many people expected ‘The Gunners’ to strengthen themselves with defensive players, because this is the weakest part of the squad, but so far the only bought defender is William Saliba from Saint-Etienne. However, the talented Frenchman will not play for Arsenal this season, because he re-joined ‘The Greens’ on loan for the upcoming campaign.
On the other hand, Arsenal was among the leading teams when it comes to the attack, and this is somewhat expected, because of the strikers that they have. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang won the award for top scorer during the last season, and also according to the expected goal method, he was the most dangerous striker in Premier League.
‘The Gunners’ signed with Dani Ceballos on from Real Madrid, while the rumours for the transfers of Wilfried Zaha and Nicolas Pepe are increasing. This news is a surprise for me because Arsenal firstly will have to fix the problems in defence. This may be a far-fetched prediction, but I think ‘The Gunners’ may not finish in Top 6 if they don’t strengthen in the defensive phase. Currently, Europa League looks like the only real possibility for Arsenal to return in Champions League. Arsenal to win the Premier League this season is priced at odds around 67.00 at bet365.
Manchester United recorded a new consecutive season without much success. ‘The Red Devils’ finished on the sixth place during the last campaign, and the previous year will be remembered only with the dismissal of Jose Mourinho. His spot took Ole Gunnar Solskjær who improved the team’s performance from Day 1. Under the leadership of the Norwegian manager, United are playing better in defence, which improved the team’s results.
During the summer, Manchester United signed with young talents such as Aaron Wan-Bissaka and Daniel James. At least for now, it looks like the team is not searching to buy only star players in their prime, and even the opposite – ‘The Red Devils’ are clearly focsuing on attracting promising young players.
It’s not a secret that United are searching a team for Romelu Lukaku, which means that this will brought huge expectations on Marcus Rashford. The young English talent has the needed quality to be the leading attacking force of the team. However, the season will be long, and the lack of a proven striker could be a double-edged sword for Solskjær’s team.
An eventual outgoing transfer of Paul Pogba will also weaken the team offensively. According to the expected goals method, the French star took participation in 20 goals for his side (scored goals + assists). Currently, Manchester United don’t have a replacement for Paul Pogba, and his eventual absence will immediately affect the results of the team.
Manchester United’s situation is not that different from that of Arsenal. In my opinion, if ‘The Red Devils’ don’t attract at least one quality player until the end of the transfer window, and also don’t retain Pogba and Lukaku, it will be difficult for them to cope with Tottenham and Chelsea’s competition for a spot in Top 4. Manchester United to win the Premier League this season is priced at odds around 41.00 at bet365.
I would not be surprised if Leicester, Everton and Wolverhampton have a strong season and be in the battle for Top 6. All three of those sides were close to the first six teams during the last campaign, and in the summer, they were reinforced with quality players.
Wolverhampton had a very solid first season back in Premier League. It will be interesting to see how will affect them eventual participation in the group stage of the Europa League. During the summer, the team attracted Jesús Vallejo, loaned from Real Madrid. In the attacking phase, if Diogo Jota and Raul Jimenez show the last season’s level, ‘Wolves’ are capable of beating anybody.
Everton didn’t start the last campaign very well, and Marco Silva needed time to define the starting eleven of the team. However, ‘The Toffees’ improved themselves and finished the season very well – only one loss in the last eight rounds. A problem for Everton may be the absence of Idrissa Gueye who signed with PSG, but in his place, the team attracted Fabian Delph. I believe that Everton will leave a mark and will have an excellent season under Marco Silva’s leadership.
My favourite for a spot in Top 6 are Leicester. ‘The Foxes’ began the last season very well under Claude Puel’s coaching, and statistically, they weren’t that behind the leading sides in Premier League. However, the results didn’t come, and the team had to sack Puel as the fans were far from happy by the slow football.
With the appointment of Brendan Rodgers, ‘The Foxes’ drastically changed their style and started to play quick and attractive football. Leicester have a solid squad which includes young talents and experienced players. Brendan Rodgers has something to prove in Premier League, and a spot in Top 6 will be a dream start.
Odds and long-term predictions for Premier League Season 2019/20
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In the following lines, I will try to summarize what I have written so far. I expect Manchester City’s domination to continue, which means a bet with odds around 1.50 in their favour is still worth. Pep Guardiola kept his leading players, while the transfer of Rodri guarantees at least one more solid season for the club. It will be hard for Liverpool to maintain the same level of last year’s campaign, given the lack of transfers.
It will also be tough for Chelsea to repeat the performance from the last season, but the team has the needed quality to reach Top 4. The Londoners’ opponents are underestimating the situation because they didn’t strengthen enough. In my opinion, N’Golo Kante is the most critical player of the team, not Eden Hazard.
The Frenchman brings stability to Chelsea’s defence, while his presence on the pitch guarantees quick counterattack for ‘The Blues’. The Kante’s effect was most evident with Antonio Conte when the Blues relied on swift action in the attack stage.
At the same time, Eden Hazard is a player that likes to hold the ball. The Belgium star is not among the most useful players when it comes to a similar counterattacking style. Currently, Chelsea have players such as Christian Pulisic, Willian, Pedro and Callum Hudson-Odoi which are most useful when they are allowed to play at full speed. All of this makes me think that ‘The Blues’ will not suffer so much from the absence of Eden Hazard and will fight for a position in the top four.
Given the lack of transfers of defensive players for Arsenal, I expect ‘The Gunners’ to lose their spot in Top 6 and Leicester to replace them. Since Brendan Rodgers’ appointment, there is a sense of positivity, both within the squad and the supporters. The problems of Arsenal can be even more apparent after the first seven rounds in Premier League.